Friday, November 14, 2014

Valuation of Microcap Tech Stocks : < $1 billion Value

NOTE : Stocks in this page are valued using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) technique. The 3 components of the valuation are : (A) Base FCF. (B) FCF Multiple. (C) Net book value for val. Total value (T) = (A x B) + C . Value per share = (T) / Shares oustanding (S).

Please refer to the post Discounted cash flow basics to understand this valuation technique.

Company list   3D Systems   Demandware   Silicon Lab   Concur Tech   Med Assets   Power Integrations inc   True Car   Arris Group   Ambarella   Semtech   Monotype imaging   Super Micro   WebMD   Rogers corp   Monolithic power   Tableau Software   Mellanox Tech   Progress software   Cavium   AllScripts   Netsuite   Real Page   Kimball international   Tyler Tech   Qlik Tech   Blackbaud   Advent Software   Medidata   Microstrategy   NIC inc   Rambus   Spansion   Proofpoint   Sunpower   Cornerstone   Earthlink 

5yr  DDD

Updated - 10/31/2014  DDD Valuation : $9.90 / share , Total value : $0.99 billions
(Base FCF : $0.025 billions , multiple 25 , Net book value for val : $0.37 billion )
Shares oustanding :100 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  DWRE

Updated - 10/31/2014  DWRE Valuation : $28.82 / share , Total value :$0.98 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : $0.23 billion )
Shares oustanding :34 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  SLAB

Updated - 10/31/2014  SLAB Valuation : $20.45 / share , Total value : $0.90 billions
(Base FCF : $0.075 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : $0.15 billion )
Shares oustanding :44 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  CNQR

Updated - 10/31/2014  CNQR Valuation : $15.91 / share , Total value :$0.88 billions
(Base FCF :$0.035 billions , multiple 25 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding : 55 millions  LINKS SEC  Company

NOTE   On Sep-18-2014 it was announced that Conqur was being acquired by SAP
for $129 / share. This is more than EIGHT TIMES my valuation, thus will further explore as to what are the intangibles that the company is being valued for. 

5yr  MDAS

Updated - 10/31/2014  MDAS Valuation : $14.34 / share , Total value : $0.88 billions
(Base FCF :$0.125 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : -$1.00 billion )
Shares oustanding :61 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  POWI

Updated - 10/31/2014  POWI Valuation : $27.42 / share , Total value :$0.85 billions
(Base FCF :$0.065 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding : 31 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  TRUE

Updated - 10/31/2014  TRUE Valuation : $13.10 / share , Total value : $0.83 billions
(Base FCF : $0.025 billions , multiple 25 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding :63 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  ARRS

Updated - 10/31/2014  ARRS Valuation : $6.11 / share , Total value : $0.80 billions
(Base FCF : $0.20 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : -$1.60 billion )
Shares oustanding :131 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  AMBA

Updated - 10/31/2014  AMBA Valuation : $24.19 / share , Total value : $0.75 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.15 billion )
Shares oustanding :31 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  SMTC

Updated - 10/31/2014  SMTC Valuation : $11.03 / share , Total value : $0.75 billions
(Base FCF : $0.075 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : billion )
Shares oustanding :68 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  TYPE

Updated - 10/31/2014  TYPE Valuation : $19.23 / share , Total value : $0.75 billions
(Base FCF :$0.05 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding :39 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  SMCI

Updated - 10/31/2014  SMCI Valuation : $16.30 / share , Total value : $0.75 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding :46 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  WBMD

Updated - 10/31/2014  WBMD Valuation :$15.63 / share , Total value : $0.75 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val :0 )
Shares oustanding :48 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  ROG

Updated - 10/31/2014  ROG Valuation : $40.28 / share , Total value : $0.73 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.13 billion )
Shares oustanding :18 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr MPWR

Updated - 10/31/2014  MPWR Valuation : $17.95 / share , Total value : $0.70 billions
(Base FCF : $0.045 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : $0.25 billion )
Shares oustanding : 39 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  DATA

Updated - 10/31/2014  DATA Valuation : $10.77 / share , Total value :$0.70 billions
(Base FCF : $0.020 billions , multiple 25 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding : 65 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  MLNX

Updated - 10/31/2014  MLNX Valuation : $15.00 / share , Total value : $0.66 billions
(Base FCF :$0.030 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.30 billion )
Shares oustanding :44 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  PRGS

Updated - 10/31/2014  PRGS Valuation : $11.82 / share , Total value : $0.65 billions
(Base FCF : $0.05 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.05 billion )
Shares oustanding :55 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  CAVM

Updated - 10/31/2014  CAVM Valuation : $12.31 / share , Total value : $0.64 billions
(Base FCF : $0.045 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.10 billion )
Shares oustanding :52 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  MDRX

Updated - 10/31/2014  MDRX Valuation : $2.43 / share , Total value : $0.64 billions
(Base FCF : $0.12 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val :-$0.80 billion )
Shares oustanding :263 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  N

Updated - 10/31/2014  N Valuation : $8.11 / share , Total value :$0.60 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val :0 )
Shares oustanding : 74 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  RP

Updated - 10/31/2014  RP Valuation : $7.89 / share , Total value :$0.60 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : billion )
Shares oustanding :76 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  KBALB

Updated - 10/31/2014  KBALB Valuation :$14.10 / share , Total value : $0.55 billions
(Base FCF : $0.035 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding :39 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  TYL

Updated - 10/31/2014  TYL Valuation :$10.83 / share , Total value : $0.52 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 13 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding :48 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  QLIK

Updated - 10/31/2014  QLIK Valuation : $5.75 / share , Total value : $0.50 billions
(Base FCF : $0.02 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding : 87 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  BLKB

Updated - 10/31/2014  BLKB Valuation : $11.11 / share , Total value :$0.50 billions
(Base FCF :$0.08 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : -$0.30 billion )
Shares oustanding :45 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  ADVS

Updated - 10/31/2014  ADVS Valuation : $9.43 / share , Total value : $0.50 billions
(Base FCF : $0.075 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : -$0.40 billion )
Shares oustanding :53 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  MDSO

Updated - 10/31/2014  MDSO Valuation : $8.89 / share , Total value : $0.48 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding : 54 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  MSTR

Updated - 10/31/2014  MSTR Valuation : $40.00 / share , Total value : $0.44 billions
(Base FCF : $0.02 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.20 billion )
Shares oustanding : 11 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  EGOV

Updated - 10/31/2014  EGOV Valuation : $6.88 / share , Total value : $0.44 billions
(Base FCF : $0.03 billions , multiple 12 , Net book value for val : $0.08 billion )
Shares oustanding :64 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  RMBS

Updated - 10/31/2014  RMBS Valuation : $3.57 / share , Total value : $0.40 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val : 0)
Shares oustanding : 112 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  CODE

Updated - 10/31/2014  CODE Valuation : $6.78 / share , Total value :$0.40 billions
(Base FCF : $0.04 billions , multiple 10 , Net book value for val :0 )
Shares oustanding : 59 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  PFPT

Updated - 10/31/2014  PFPT Valuation : $10.42 / share , Total value :$0.38 billions
(Base FCF : $0.025 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val : 0 )
Shares oustanding :36 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  SPWR

Updated - 10/31/2014  SPWR Valuation : $2.17 / share , Total value : $0.30 billions
(Base FCF : $0.10 billions , multiple 8 , Net book value for val : -$0.50 billion )
Shares oustanding :138 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  CSOD

Updated - 10/31/2014  CSOD Valuation : $5.00 / share , Total value : $0.25 billions
(Base FCF : $0.010 billions , multiple 25 , Net book value for val : 0)
Shares oustanding : 50 millions  LINKS SEC  Company 

5yr  ELNK

Updated - 10/31/2014  ELNK Valuation : $1.62 / share , Total value :$0.18 billions
(Base FCF : $0.045 billions , multiple 15 , Net book value for val :-$0.50 billion )
Shares oustanding : 108 millions  LINKS SEC  Company

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